Mr. Robert C. Beal
The Johns Hopkins University
Applied Physics Laboratory (APL)
Johns Hopkins Road
Laurel, MD 20707-6099

Co-Investigators:
Frank M. Monaldo (APL)
Thomas Gerling (APL)



Global Wave Forecasting in the Southern Ocean


OBJECTIVES

The goal of this project is to demonstrate the potential value of spaceborne Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) for operational ocean wave monitoring and forecasting.

This project complements the Space Radar Laboratory (SRL) investigation "Optimization of SAR Parameters for Wave Spectra" (PI: F. Monaldo, CI: R. Beal), with somewhat overlapping tasks and similar goals, that is, the understanding and application of spaceborne SAR to operational ocean wave monitoring and forecasting.


PROGRESS

Using the APL real-time SAR processor with both the SRL-1 and SRL-2 missions, we have acquired a SAR wave imaging and comparison data set more than two orders of magnitude greater than in any previous U.S. SAR mission. This SRL data set is all the more unique and valuable, since it was acquired at both a low altitude and a low off-nadir angle. Both of these are necessary conditions for any future free flyer dedicated to global ocean wave monitoring. The data set for our SRL investigation consists of:

1) Over 100,000 SAR Image Spectra over the Southern Ocean from the real-time APL SAR Processor: 45,000 from April, and 55,000 from October.

2) Eighteen precision, high resolution SAR imagery data-takes correlated by JPL, both over the Southern Ocean and over the North Atlantic.

3) Numerical wave model (WAM) nowcasts for the periods covering both April and October missions, from both the U.S. Navy Fleet Numerical and Meteorological Center (Monterey) and the European Centre for Medium Range Forecasting (ECMWF) (Reading).

4) European Remote Sensing Satellite (ERS-1) SAR derived wave spectra from the Max Planck Institute covering the entire globe for the time intervals of both the April and October missions.

APL Processor SAR Data

Aboard Endeavour, an APL-built processor correlated SAR imagery from the SIR-C C-band HH-polarization signal and produced image spectra which were transmitted to the ground in real time. More than 100,000 image spectra from the APL-processor were stored from 120 data takes in SRL-1 and 126 data takes in SRL-2. The wave spectra cover most of the Southern Ocean from 45S to 60S. The data set includes measurements where the ocean significant wave height (SWH) varied from near zero to over 12 m, spanning nearly the full range of naturally occurring sea states.

WAM Nowcasts

During SRL-1 and SRL-2, the Navy's Fleet Numerical Meteorology and Oceanography Center (FNMOC) retained the nowcast spectra made from their version of the operational WAM forecast model. An analogous comparison model data set is also available from ECMWF through collaborators at the Max Planck Institute (Hamburg).

ERS-1 SAR Imagery

Given the broad geographical coverage of data from the APL processor, there are at least 30 times in the Southern Ocean during each mission when ERS-1 wave spectra and APL-processor image spectra were located less than 50 km apart and acquired within one hour of one another. Loosening the colocation criteria only slightly will produce more than 100 such comparisons sets.


SIGNIFICANT RESULTS

Using real-time APL-processor data received at Johnson Space Center, we merged SAR wave vector estimates over the Southern Ocean with wave vector forecasts from FNMOC, and daily placed the combined products on a World Wide Web site. During the mission, the site was visited more than 150 times by investigators from as far away as South Africa and Australia. This effort demonstrated the potential of providing wave information from spaceborne SAR quickly enough to be usefully assimilated into wave forecast models. The site

ftp://fermi.jhuapl.edu/sirc/sirc.html

currently shows recent data and analyses from the SRL missions. In the past year, we have processed image spectra with only a simple SAR modulation transfer function. Even these results show quality retrievals of wave direction and wavelength. In the future, we will employ more sophisticated retrieval schemes that may permit the accurate measurement of ocean SWH as well.


FUTURE PLANS

Given the totality of the SIR-C image spectra, ERS-1 SAR spectra, and WAM model estimates, we intend to 1) make a definitive determination of what ocean wave parameters can be extracted from spaceborne SARs and with what accuracy; 2) specify the SAR satellite configuration that optimizes this retrieval; and 3) demonstrate, with a statistically significant data set, the value of SAR for improved global wave forecasting.

We are currently collaborating with William Plant who, while a visiting scientist at the Max Planck Institute this last year, applied nonlinear retrieval algorithms to estimate wave spectra from coincident SIR-C and ERS-1 data. We expect to submit a joint paper in the upcoming year, documenting the comparison of ERS-1 and SIR-C-derived image spectra.

We intend to make a systematic comparison, wave system by wave system, to ascertain systematic differences between WAM model wave estimates and SIR-C measurements for the entire Southern Ocean data set. We will then determine whether these differences are due to input wind field errors, model problems, and/or SAR wave imaging limitations. We expect the results to form the major scientific and operational justification for a low altitude wave monitoring SAR satellite. Such a satellite would easily fit into the NASA "Lightsat" category, and would also be a candidate for the "New Millennium" spacecraft announcement of opportunity. Both the U.S. Navy and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) have strong interests in the improvement of operational wave forecast products that would be possible with such a dedicated low altitude free-flyer. Moreover, NASA should have an equally strong interest in the demonstration of the advanced technology necessary to do the SAR on-board processing and the real-time global dissemination of data to a worldwide user network.


PUBLICATIONS

Beal, R. C., S. F. Oden, J. L. MacArthur, and F. M. Monaldo, Real Time Ocean Wave Monitoring from Space: A Thirty-Year Quest Achieved, Johns Hopkins APL Technical Digest , vol. 15, No. 3, pp. 237-241.

Gerling, T. G and P. A. Wittmann, Comparison of SAR-estimated Wave Spectra with WAM Model Estimates During the SRL Southern Ocean Experiment, Proc. 1995 International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium , Florence, Italy, July 1995.

Monaldo, F. M. and R. C. Beal, SRL Real-Time Wave Forecasting in the Southern Ocean, Proc. 1995 International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium Florence , Italy, July 1995.

Monaldo, F. M. and R. C. Beal, Real-Time Observations of Southern Ocean Waves Fields from the Shuttle Imaging Radar, IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing , vol. 33, No. 4, pp. 942-949, 1995.

Plant, W., S. Hasselmann, C. Bruning, R. Beal, and F. Monaldo, Comparison of Ocean Wave Spectra from a Nonlinear SAR Inversion Scheme using ERS-1 and SIR-C Data Sets, Proc. 1995 International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium , Florence, Italy, July 1995.

Wittmann, P. A., R. M. Clancy, and R. C. Beal, FNMOC Supports Wave Modeling Around the World and into Space, Naval Meteorology and Oceanography News, July 1995.

In addition, the following formal presentations have been given:

Beal, R. C., The SRL Real Time Wave Forecasting Experiment and its Implications for a Future Satellite Design , invited seminar to NOAA/NESDIS, 15 December 1994.

Beal, R. C., The SIR-C Real-Time Southern Ocean Experiment , invited seminar to the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, 6 July 1995.

Beal, R. C., Ocean Applications of Spaceborne SAR , invited presentation at the US-ROC Oceanic Microwave Remote Sensing Workshop, U. Delaware, 16 August 1995.

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